📊 Post-Tariff Market Mood: Calmer Waters Ahead
- 🌪️ After weeks of market turbulence from Trump’s tariff moves, investors are finally breathing easier.
- 📉 Volatility is cooling off, and analysts are unveiling recovery strategies.
🏦 Domestic-Oriented Sectors in Focus
- 📌 Analysts suggest shifting focus to domestic sectors:
- 🏥 Healthcare
- ⚡ Power
- 🏦 Banking
- 🇮🇳 India’s low export dependency and strong macro fundamentals offer a safe haven.
📉 Earnings Impact So Far
- 📊 Nifty EPS has been cut by 6.2% (FY26) and 5.6% (FY27) since Oct 2024, per Prabhudas Lilladher.
- ⚠️ More earnings downgrades possible if tariffs escalate.
- 🧠 But strong belief that domestic sectors will outperform.
🧭 Top Sectors to Watch
- 🏨 Hospitals
- 💊 Pharma
- 🛍️ Retail & Consumer Staples
- 🛡️ Defense
- 🏦 Banks
- ⚡ Power
🌏 India’s Global Advantage
- 💼 India faces a 26% tariff, lower than most Asian countries.
- 🇺🇸 Exports to the US = <5% of India’s GDP → limited direct exposure.
- 🛢️ Low oil prices are a win for India as a major importer.
- 💰 Expectation of FII inflows returning to EMs, including India—especially if the U.S. dodges a hard landing.
💡 Expert Stock Picks to Watch
1️⃣ Reliance Industries
📈 Multiple growth triggers: Retail comeback, energy shift, digital expansion.
💸 Attractive valuation.
🎯 Target Price: ₹1,590 (HSBC)
2️⃣ TVS Motor
📉 Down 20% since Sep 2024—ripe for rebound.
🚜 Rural demand recovery + new product launches = potential upside.
3️⃣ ICICI Bank
🏦 Steady performer in the banking space with strong fundamentals.
